GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Calix Inc (NYSE:CALX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Calix (CALX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2010. Start your Free Trial

What is Calix Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Calix's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Calix's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Calix's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Calix's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Calix's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Calix's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Calix Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.91

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Calix  (NYSE:CALX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Calix Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Calix's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Calix Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Calix Inc (NYSE:CALX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2777 Orchard Parkway, San Jose, CA, USA, 95134
Calix Inc develops, market and sell Calix cloud, systems and software platforms to enable service providers of all types and sizes to innovate and transform. The company's customers utilize the real-time data and insights from Calix platforms to simplify their business and deliver experiences that excite their subscribers. The resulting growth in subscriber acquisition, loyalty and revenue creates more value for their businesses and communities. The Company's revenue is principally derived in the United States and it also has its presence in Middle East & Africa, Europe, Asia Pacific and other markets.
Executives
Eleanor Fields director C/O CALIX, INC., 2777 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Rajatish Mukherjee director C/O CALIX, INC., 2777 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
John Matthew Collins officer: EVP, Commercial Operations C/O CALIX, INC., 2777 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Eleniak Shane Todd Marshall officer: EVP, Products C/O CALIX, INC., 2777 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Kira Makagon director C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC., 1400 FASHION ISLAND BLVD, 7TH FLOOR, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Michael Matthews director C/O CALIX, INC., 1035 N. MCDOWELL BLVD., PETALUMA CA 94954
Sindelar Cory officer: interim CFO & PFO C/O LEGATO SYSTEMS INC, 2350 W EL CAMINO REAL, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94040
Donald J Listwin director 2777 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Christopher J Bowick director 1400 LAKE HEARN DR, ATLANTA GA 30319
Kevin A Denuccio director 300 HOLGER WAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
J Daniel Plants director ONE EMBARCADERO CENTER, SUITE 1140, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Sheila Cheung officer: VP, Finance & Accounting 100 HEADQUARTERS DR, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Kathleen M Crusco director C/O CALIX, INC., 1035 N. MCDOWELL BLVD, PETALUMA CA 94954
William J Atkins officer: Executive VP and CFO 591 SPRUCE STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94118
Gregory A. Billings officer: SVP, Services 1035 N MCDOWELL BLVD, PETALUMA X1 94954