Mildef Group AB (CHIX:MILDES) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03% (As of Jul. 17, 2026)

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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CHIX:MILDES Mildef Group AB CHIX:MILDES
70 GF Score
Price kr180.38
GF Value kr198.55
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Mildef Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Mildef Group AB CHIX:MILDES 70 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus rates CHIX:MILDES with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of kr198.55 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Mildef Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Mildef Group AB  (CHIX:MILDEs) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Mildef Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


CHIX:MILDES vs SPCX, GE, RTX: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Mildef Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mildef Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Mildef Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mildef Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


CHIX:MILDES
70GF Score
Mildef Group AB CHIX:MILDES
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Mildef Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.08

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
Mildef Group AB (CHIX:MILDES) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jul. 17, 2026.
Is Mildef Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Mildef Group AB's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, Mildef Group AB has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mildef Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to SPCX and GE?
Mildef Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Aerospace & Defense company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Aerospace & Defense industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Mildef Group AB's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mildef Group AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mildef Group AB (CHIX:MILDES) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr198.55, compared to a current price of kr180.38 — trading 9.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Mildef Group AB's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mildef Group AB (CHIX:MILDES), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mildef Group AB (CHIX:MILDES) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mildef Group AB stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of kr180.38 is trading 9.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of kr198.55. GuruFocus considers Mildef Group AB to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:MILDES:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
  • GF Value™: kr198.55 vs. price of kr180.38 (9.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:MILDES stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mildef Group AB Business Description

Other Exchanges MILDEF:Sweden8QA:Germany
Address Muskotgatan 6, Helsingborg, SWE, 254 66
Mildef Group AB is a multinational systems integrator and full-spectrum provider specializing in rugged IT for military, government, and critical infrastructure sectors. It provides hardware, software, and services that shield and protect critical information streams and systems. Some of the products and services offered by the company include hardware products like intelligent displays, rugged laptops, routers, handhelds, robot controllers, etc; the OneCIS software solution, which provides a secure, flexible, scalable, and deployable tactical IT capability; and custom product development and integration services. Geographically, the company generates maximum revenue from Germany, and the rest from Sweden, Norway, the USA, Europe (excluding Nordics and Germany), and other countries.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:MILDES

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr180.38
Price
kr198.55
GF Value