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CLFD (Clearfield) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Clearfield Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Clearfield's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Clearfield's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Clearfield's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Clearfield's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Clearfield's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Clearfield's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Clearfield Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.22

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Clearfield  (NAS:CLFD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Clearfield Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Clearfield Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Clearfield Inc (NAS:CLFD) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7050 Winnetka Avenue North, Suite 100, Brooklyn Park, MN, USA, 55428
Clearfield Inc mainly designs, manufactures, and distributes fiber protection, fiber management and fiber delivery solutions for communications networks. It provides a various products including copper assemblies, cassettes, box enclosures, fiber connectors, frames, microduct, terminals, vaults, pedestal inserts, FieldSmart, WaveSmart, and CraftSmart. The company has international presence with the majority of the revenue derived from the United States. The company has two reportable segments namely Clearfield segment and Nestor cables segment. The majority of revenue is derived from Clearfield segment.
Executives
Jones Walter Louis Jr director 7050 WINNETKA AVE N,, SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Ronald G Roth director 7050 WINNETKA AVE. N., SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Carol Ann Wirsbinski director 7050 WINNETKA AVE. N., STE. 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Roger G Harding director 7050 WINNETKA AVE. N. SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Donald R. Hayward director 7050 WINNETKA AVE. N., SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Daniel R Herzog other: Comptroller 7050 WINNETKA AVE. N., SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Cheri B Podzimek other: President of Subsidiary 7050 WINNETKA AVE. N., SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
John P Hill officer: Chief Operating Officer 7050 WINNETKA AVE. N., SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Charles N Hayssen director 7050 WINNETKA AVE. N., SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Patrick Goepel director 7050 WINNETKA AVE N, SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Clearfield, Inc. director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 7050 WINNETKA AVE. N., SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Zucherman Stephen L Md director 7050 WINNETKA AVE. N., SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Reddan John G Jr director 7050 WINNETKA AVE. N., SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Bruce G. Blackey officer: Chief Financial Officer 5480 NATHAN LANE #120, PLYMOUTH MN 55442
Anil K Jain director 4 WEST BAY LANE, NORTH OAKS MN 55127