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COMP (Compass) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Compass Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Compass's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Compass's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Compass's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Compass's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Compass's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Compass's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Compass Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.10

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Compass  (NYSE:COMP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Compass Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Compass Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » Real Estate » Compass Inc (NYSE:COMP) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
110 Fifth Avenue,, 4th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10011
Compass Inc provides an end-to-end platform that empowers residential real estate agents to deliver exceptional service to seller and buyer clients. The platform includes an integrated suite of cloud-based software for customer relationship management, marketing, client service and other critical functionality, all custom-built for the real estate industry and enabling core brokerage services. Business operations are conducted in the United States and earn revenue domestically.
Executives
Robert L. Reffkin director, officer: Chairman and CEO C/O COMPASS, INC., 155 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10013
Svf Excaliber (cayman) Ltd 10 percent owner 27 HOSPITAL ROAD, WALKERS CORPORATE LTD., CAYMAN CORPORATE CENTRE, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY-9008
Pamela Thomas-graham director C/O IDENIX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 60 HAMPSHIRE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Gregory M. Hart officer: Chief Product Officer C/O COMPASS, INC., 155 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10013
Danielle J. Wilkie officer: President, Central Region C/O COMPASS, INC., 155 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10013
Kalani Reelitz officer: Chief Financial Officer 90 50TH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Joseph Sirosh officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O COMPASS, INC., 155 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10013
Dawanna Williams director 865 MERRICK AVE, SUITE 200 S, WESTBURY NY 11590
Frank Martell director 10 GASTON FARMS ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06831
Allan Leinwand director C/O MARIN SOFTWARE INCORPORATED, 123 MISSION STREET, 25TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Josh N. Mccarter director C/O COMPASS, INC., 90 5TH AVENUE, 3RD FLOOR, NYC NY 10011
Robert S. Lehman officer: Chief Business Officer C/O COMPASS, INC., 155 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10013
Priyanka Singh officer: Chief People Officer C/O COMPASS, INC., 90 5TH AVENUE, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Kristen M. Ankerbrandt officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O COMPASS, INC., 155 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10013
Anand Mehta officer: Chief People Officer C/O COMPASS, INC., 90 5TH AVE, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011