Dell (DELL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 04, 2024)

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What is Dell Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Dell's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Dell's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Dell's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Dell's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Dell's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dell's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Dell Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Dell (DELISTED:DELL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Dell Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Dell (DELL) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Dell Inc (DELISTED:DELL) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

http://www.dell.com

Dell Inc is a Delaware Corporation, which was founded in 1984. The Company offers a range of technology solutions, including servers and networking products, storage products, services, software and peripherals, mobility products, and desktop PCs. The Company sells its products and services directly to customers through dedicated distribution channels, such as retailers, distributors, and resellers. Its business segments are Large Enterprise, Public, Small and Medium Business ('SMB'), and Consumer. Large Enterprise customers include large global and national corporate businesses. Public customers, which include educational institutions, government, health care, and law enforcement agencies, operate in their own communities. SMB segment is focused on helping small and medium-sized businesses get the most out of their technology by offering scalable products, services, and solutions. Consumer segment is focused on delivering what customers want from the total technology experience of entertainment, mobility, gaming, and design. The Company designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and supports a range of products, solutions, and services. The Company also provides various customer financial services to its Commercial and Consumer customers. Its enterprise solutions include servers, networking, and storage products. The Company's services include a range of configurable IT and business services, including infrastructure technology, consulting and applications, and product-related support services. The Company offers Dell-branded printers and displays and a multitude of competitively priced third-party peripheral products such as printers, televisions, notebook accessories, mice, keyboards, networking and wireless products, digital cameras, and other products. The Company also sells a range of third-party software products, including operating systems, business and office applications, anti-virus and related security software, entertainment software, and products in various other categories. Client Products offers a variety of mobility and desktop products, including notebooks, workstations, tablets, smartphones, and desktop PCs, to its Commercial and Consumer customers. The Company offers or arranges various financing options and services for its Commercial and Consumer customers in the U.S. and Canada through Dell Financial Services ('DFS'). DFS offers a range of financial services, including originating, collecting, and servicing customer receivables related to the purchase of Dell products. DFS offers private label credit financing programs to qualified Consumer and Commercial customers and offers leases and fixed-term financing to Commercial customers. The Company sells its products and services directly to customers and through various other sales distribution channels, such as retailers, third-party solution providers, system integrators, and third-party resellers. Its customers include large global and national corpora