Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC (DFM:DEWA) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Sep. 18, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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DFM:DEWA Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC DFM:DEWA
85 GF Score
Price د.إ2.76
GF Value د.إ2.82
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC DFM:DEWA +0.36% 85 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Sep. 18, 2026. GuruFocus rates DFM:DEWA with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of د.إ2.82 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC  (DFM:DEWA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


DFM:DEWA vs SRE, AES: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Utilities - Diversified subindustry, Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


DFM:DEWA
85GF Score
Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC DFM:DEWA
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.94

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC (DFM:DEWA) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Sep. 18, 2026.
Is Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to SRE and AES?
Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC (DFM:DEWA) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is د.إ2.82, compared to a current price of د.إ2.76 — trading 2.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC (DFM:DEWA), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Sep. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC (DFM:DEWA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of د.إ2.76 is trading 2.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of د.إ2.82. GuruFocus considers Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for DFM:DEWA:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: د.إ2.82 vs. price of د.إ2.76 (2.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the DFM:DEWA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC Business Description

Address Sheikh Rashid Road, Umm Hurair 2, P.O. Box 564, Happiness Center Zaabeel East, Umm Hureir, Dubai, ARE
Dubai Electricity & Water Authority PJSC is engaged in water desalination and distribution and its generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity, throughout the Emirate of Dubai. The company operates into four segments; DEWA is engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity and water desalination, transmission and distribution to residential, commercial, industrial, and government; EMPOWER is engaged in the provision of district cooling, maintenance of central cooling plants and manufacturing and sale of insulated pipes; IWPP is engaged in the development, operation and maintenance of power and water plants; and Others operations include purification and sale of potable water, and other. It generates maximum revenue from the DEWA segment.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for DFM:DEWA

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

د.إ2.76
Price
د.إ2.82
GF Value