GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » Masonite International Corp (NYSE:DOOR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Masonite International (Masonite International) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2011. Start your Free Trial

What is Masonite International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Masonite International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Masonite International's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Masonite International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Masonite International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Masonite International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Masonite International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Masonite International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.59

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Masonite International  (NYSE:DOOR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Masonite International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Masonite International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Masonite International (Masonite International) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2771 Rutherford Road, Concord, ON, CAN, L4K 2N6
Masonite International Corp is engaged in designing, manufacturing, marketing and distributing interior and exterior doors for the new construction and repair, renovation and remodeling sectors of the residential and non-residential building construction markets. Its product categories include interior molded residential doors, interior stile and rail residential doors, exterior fibreglass residential doors, exterior steel residential doors, interior architectural wood doors, wood veneers and molded door facings and door core. The company operates its manufacturing and distribution facilities in seven countries in North America, Europe, South America and Asia.
Executives
Alexander Albert Legall officer: See Remarks 1242 EAST 5TH AVE, TAMPA FL 33605
Jay Ira Steinfeld director 4919 HOLLY STREET, BELLAIRE TX 77401
Catherine Anne Shellabarger officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 1242 EAST 5TH AVE, TAMPA FL 33605
Robert J Byrne director C/O MASONITE INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 201 NORTH FRANKLIN ST., SUITE 300, TAMPA FL 33602
Patrick Daniel Brisley officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 1242 EAST 5TH AVE, TAMPA FL 33605
Victoria Louise Philemon officer: See Remarks 1242 EAST 5TH AVE, TAMPA FL 33605
Peter R Dachowski director C/O BACKYARD HOLDCO, INC., 7830 FREEWAY CIRCLE, MIDDLEBURG HEIGHTS OH 44130
James C Pelletier other: SVP, GC & Corporate Secretary 1242 EAST 5TH AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33605
Robert Edgar Lewis officer: See Remarks C/O MASONITE INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 1242 EAST 5TH AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33602
Christopher O Ball officer: President, Global Residential 1242 EAST 5TH AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33605
Francis M Scricco director C/O AVAYA INC., 211 MOUNT AIRY ROAD, BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920
Barry A. Ruffalo director ASTEC INDUSTRIES, INC., 1725 SHEPHERD RD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Jonathan F Foster director 777 THIRD AVE, 30TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Randal Alan White officer: See Remarks C/O MASONITE INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 201 N. FRANKLIN STREET, SUITE 300, TAMPA FL 33602
John H. Chuang director 711 BOYLSTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02445