ECWDF (EC World Real Estate Investment Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.09% (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


What is EC World Real Estate Investment Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

EC World Real Estate Investment Trust ECWDF Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09% as of Jun. 27, 2026. The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, EC World Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


EC World Real Estate Investment Trust  (OTCPK:ECWDF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


EC World Real Estate Investment Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


ECWDF vs GIPR, WHLR, PW: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, EC World Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


EC World Real Estate Investment Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, EC World Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where EC World Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



EC World Real Estate Investment Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.97

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.09% mean?
EC World Real Estate Investment Trust (ECWDF) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.09% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is EC World Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
EC World Real Estate Investment Trust's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.
How does EC World Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to GIPR and WHLR?
EC World Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.09% can be compared against companies in the REITs industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a REITs company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the REITs industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. EC World Real Estate Investment Trust's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is EC World Real Estate Investment Trust stock overvalued right now?
EC World Real Estate Investment Trust (ECWDF) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.09%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For EC World Real Estate Investment Trust (ECWDF), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

EC World Real Estate Investment Trust Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Address 6 Shenton Way No 41-03, OUE Downtown 1, Singapore, SGP, 068809
EC World Real Estate Investment Trust is engaged in investing in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate properties used for e-commerce, supply chain management, and third-party logistics purposes, as well as real estate-related assets. The company's segments include Port logistics, Specialised logistics, and E-commerce logistics. It generates the majority of the revenue from the E-commerce Logistics segment. These properties are concentrated in one geographical location, the People's Republic of China.