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Eagle Financial Bancorp (Eagle Financial Bancorp) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Eagle Financial Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Eagle Financial Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Eagle Financial Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Eagle Financial Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Eagle Financial Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Eagle Financial Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Eagle Financial Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Eagle Financial Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Eagle Financial Bancorp  (OTCPK:EFBI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Eagle Financial Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Eagle Financial Bancorp (Eagle Financial Bancorp) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6415 Bridgetown Road, Cincinnati, OH, USA, 45248
Eagle Financial Bancorp Inc takes deposits from the general public and invests those deposits in one-to-four-family residential real estate loans, commercial real estate and land loans, construction loans and home equity loans, and lines of credit. The company offers a variety of deposit accounts, including checking accounts, savings accounts, money market demand accounts, and certificates of deposit accounts. It generates the majority of its revenue from financial instruments like loans, and mortgage activities.
Executives
Joseph A. Ventre officer: VP Residential Lending 6581 HARRISON AVENUE, CINCINNATI OH 45247
Wilford R Mccleese officer: Vice President 6415 BRIDGETOWN ROAD, CINCINNATI OH 45248
Patricia L. Walter officer: EVP 6415 BRIDGETOWN ROAD, CHEVIOT OH 45248
Gary J Koester director, officer: President and CEO 6415 BRIDGETOWN ROAD, CINCINNATI OH 45248
Kevin R Schramm officer: VP and CFO 6415 BRIDGETOWN ROAD, CINCINNATI OH 45248
Adam B Goetzman director 6415 BRIDGETOWN ROAD, CINCINNATI OH 45248
Steven C Kehoe director 6415 BRIDGETOWN ROAD, CINCINNATI OH 45248
James W Braun director 6415 BRIDGETOWN ROAD, CINCINNATI OH 45248
Steven J Dulle director 6415 BRIDGETOWN ROAD, CINCINNATI OH 45248
Guy W Cagney director 6415 BRIDGETOWN ROAD, CINCINNATI OH 45248

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