MOH Nippon (FRA:4HS) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.13% (As of Jul. 24, 2026)

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FRA:4HS MOH Nippon PLC FRA:4HS
32 GF Score
Price €0.26
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is MOH Nippon Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

MOH Nippon FRA:4HS 32 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13% as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:4HS with a GF Score™ of 32/100. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, MOH Nippon's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


MOH Nippon  (FRA:4HS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


MOH Nippon Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


FRA:4HS vs BLK, BX, KKR: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, MOH Nippon's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MOH Nippon Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, MOH Nippon's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MOH Nippon's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


FRA:4HS
32GF Score
MOH Nippon PLC FRA:4HS
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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MOH Nippon Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.66

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.13%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.13% mean?
MOH Nippon (FRA:4HS) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.13% as of Jul. 24, 2026.
Is MOH Nippon's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
MOH Nippon's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%. Overall, MOH Nippon has a GF Score™ of 32/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MOH Nippon's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BLK and BX?
MOH Nippon's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.13% can be compared against companies in the Asset Management industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Asset Management company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Asset Management industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. MOH Nippon's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MOH Nippon stock overvalued right now?
MOH Nippon (FRA:4HS) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.13%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%. MOH Nippon's overall GF Score™ is 32/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MOH Nippon (FRA:4HS), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13% as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

MOH Nippon Business Description

Other Exchanges MOH:UK
Address 167-169 Great Portland Street, 5th Floor, London, GBR, W1W 5PF
MOH Nippon PLC is a real estate crowdfunding services provider based in Japan, operating through its investment platform that allows local investors to participate in fund products tied to specific real estate projects. The company manages fund products through Toshi-Souken Invest Fund (TSIF) and handles investor solicitation, management, reporting, and record-keeping. Additionally, MOH Nippon engages in direct investments and co-management of technology-driven commercial real estate developments, including projects such as cold-chain logistics facilities. The company is headquartered in London, United Kingdom, and focuses on creating shareholder value through the growth of real estate crowdfunding and property investments.
32GF Score

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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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