PT Mayora Indah Tbk (FRA:D7V) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


FRA:D7V PT Mayora Indah Tbk FRA:D7V
90 GF Score
Price €0.08
GF Value €0.11
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is PT Mayora Indah Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

PT Mayora Indah Tbk FRA:D7V +1.85% 90 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:D7V with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.11 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PT Mayora Indah Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PT Mayora Indah Tbk  (FRA:D7V) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PT Mayora Indah Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


FRA:D7V vs KHC, GIS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, PT Mayora Indah Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Mayora Indah Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Mayora Indah Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Mayora Indah Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


FRA:D7V
90GF Score
PT Mayora Indah Tbk FRA:D7V
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PT Mayora Indah Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.40

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
PT Mayora Indah Tbk (FRA:D7V) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is PT Mayora Indah Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
PT Mayora Indah Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, PT Mayora Indah Tbk has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Mayora Indah Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to KHC and GIS?
PT Mayora Indah Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. PT Mayora Indah Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Mayora Indah Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Mayora Indah Tbk (FRA:D7V) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.11, compared to a current price of €0.08 — trading 25% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. PT Mayora Indah Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Mayora Indah Tbk (FRA:D7V), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Mayora Indah Tbk (FRA:D7V) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Mayora Indah Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €0.08 is trading 25% below its estimated GF Value™ of €0.11. GuruFocus considers PT Mayora Indah Tbk to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:D7V:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
  • GF Value™: €0.11 vs. price of €0.08 (25% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:D7V stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Mayora Indah Tbk Business Description

Other Exchanges MYOR:IndonesiaD7V:Germany
Address Jl. Tomang Raya 21-23, Gedung Mayora lantai 8, Jakarta Barat, Jakarta, IDN, 11440
PT Mayora Indah Tbk makes biscuits, candy, wafers, chocolate, coffee, instant food, cereal, and beverages. The brands of the company include Kopiko, Roma, Energen, Torabika, and Beng Beng. The Company has two operating segments, namely the packaged processed food segment and the packaged processed beverage segment. The Firm generates the majority of its revenue from packaged food processing. Geographical segments of the company include Indonesia, Asia, and others. Food processing, coffee powder processing, instant coffee production, and coffee bean processing are all located in Jabodetabek.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:D7V

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.08
Price
€0.11
GF Value