Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co (FRA:F9L) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Aug. 13, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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FRA:F9L Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Ltd FRA:F9L
80 GF Score
Price €6.60
GF Value €7.53
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co FRA:F9L 80 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Aug. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:F9L with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of €7.53. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co  (FRA:F9L) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


FRA:F9L vs ZTS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


FRA:F9L
80GF Score
Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Ltd FRA:F9L
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.97

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co (FRA:F9L) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Aug. 13, 2026.
Is Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co has a GF Score™ of 80/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to ZTS?
Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Drug Manufacturers company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Drug Manufacturers industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co stock overvalued right now?
Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co (FRA:F9L) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01%. The stock's GF Value™ is €7.53, compared to a current price of €6.60 — trading 12.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co (FRA:F9L), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Aug. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co (FRA:F9L) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €6.60 is trading 12.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of €7.53.

Key valuation signals for FRA:F9L:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: €7.53 vs. price of €6.60 (12.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:F9L stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 600380:China
Address No. 17, Langshan Road, North District, High-tech Zone, Nanshan District, Guangdong, Shenzhen, CHN, 518057
Joincare Pharmaceutical Group Industry Co Ltd is an integrated pharmaceutical company, the business scope covers healthcare products, APIs, final dosage forms, prescription drugs, OTCs, Chinese traditional medicine, chemical drugs, and testing agents. APIs are antibiotic series and their intermediates 7ACA, 4AA and F9. Prescription drugs focus on the realms of the digestive tract, a blood vessel of heart and brain, infection, tumor, nervous cerebrovascular section, urinary system etc. OTCs include gastrointestinal drug Dele-Livzon, Live Bifidobacterium Preparation, oral ulcer drugs Yiketie, cold medicine Antiviral Oral Granule, External use skin medicine.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:F9L

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€6.60
Price
€7.53
GF Value