Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ormat Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Ormat Technologies (FRA:HNM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Ormat Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
FRA:HNM vs MWH, CWEN, FRVO: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Ormat Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Ormat Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry
For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Ormat Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Ormat Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Ormat Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-7.88
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Ormat Technologies (FRA:HNM) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is Ormat Technologies' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Ormat Technologies' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Ormat Technologies has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ormat Technologies' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to MWH and CWEN?
Ormat Technologies' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Ormat Technologies's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ormat Technologies stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ormat Technologies (FRA:HNM) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €90.72, compared to a current price of €103.70 — trading 14.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Ormat Technologies' overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ormat Technologies (FRA:HNM), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Ormat Technologies (FRA:HNM) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ormat Technologies stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of €103.70 is trading 14.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €90.72.
GuruFocus considers Ormat Technologies to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for FRA:HNM:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
GF Value™: €90.72 vs. price of €103.70 (14.3% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:HNM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Ormat Technologies Inc is engaged in the geothermal and recovered energy power business. It is engaged in three business segments: the Electricity Segment. where the company develops, builds, owns, and operates geothermal, solar PV, and recovered energy-based power plants in the United States and geothermal power plants in other countries and sells the electricity generated. Product Segment includes designing, manufacturing, and selling equipment for geothermal and recovered energy-based electricity generation and providing services relating to the engineering, procurement, and construction of geothermal & recovered energy-based power plants. Energy Storage Segment includes owning & operating grid-connected which provide capacity, energy, & ancillary services directly to the electric grid.
85GF Score
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