What is LSI Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, LSI's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of LSI's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Semiconductors subindustry, LSI's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
LSI's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry
For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, LSI's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where LSI's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
LSI Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
LSI (FRA:LOG) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
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LSI Corporation was incorporated in California on November 6, 1980, and was reincorporated in Delaware on June 11, 1987. The Company designs, develops and markets networking semiconductors and storage systems. It provides silicon-to-system solutions that are used to create, store, consume and transport digital information. It offers integrated circuits used in hard disk drives, solid state drives, high-speed communications systems, computer servers, storage systems and personal computers. It also offers external storage systems, storage systems software, redundant array of independent disks, or RAID, adapters for computer servers, and RAID software applications. The Company has two segments — the Semiconductor segment and the Storage Systems segment. Its semiconductor segment designs, develops and markets complex integrated circuits for storage and networking applications. These solutions include both custom solutions and standard products. It designs custom solutions for a specific application defined by the customer. The Company develops products for market applications that it defines and sells them to multiple customers. It sells its integrated circuits for storage applications to makers of hard disk drives, solid state drives and computer servers. It sells its integrated circuits for networking applications principally to makers of devices used in computer and telecommunications networks and, to a lesser extent, to makers of personal computers. Its storage systems segment designs and sells enterprise storage systems and storage software applications that enable storage area networks. The Company also offers RAID adapters for computer servers and associated software for attaching storage devices to computer servers. It sells its storage systems and storage solutions mainly to OEMs who resell these products to end customers under their own brand name. The semiconductor industry is competitive and is characterized by rapidly changing technology, short product cycles and emerging standards. The semiconductor manufacturing process begins with wafer fabrication, where a design is transferred to silicon wafers through a series of processes, including photolithography, ion implantation, deposition of numerous films and the etching of these various films and layers. On January 3, 2012, the company acquired SandForce, Inc., a provider of flash storage processors, or FSPs, for enterprise and client flash solutions and solid state drives, or SSDs. Federal, state and local regulations, in addition to those of other nations, impose various environmental controls on certain chemicals and restricted substances used in the manufacture of semiconductor and storage products.
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