GCFB (Granite City Food & Brewery) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


What is Granite City Food & Brewery Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Granite City Food & Brewery GCFB Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 25, 2026.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Granite City Food & Brewery's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Granite City Food & Brewery  (OTCPK:GCFB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Granite City Food & Brewery Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


GCFB vs BDVB, DBUB, GIGL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Granite City Food & Brewery's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Granite City Food & Brewery Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Granite City Food & Brewery's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Granite City Food & Brewery's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Granite City Food & Brewery Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Granite City Food & Brewery (GCFB) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Granite City Food & Brewery's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Granite City Food & Brewery's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
How does Granite City Food & Brewery's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BDVB and DBUB?
Granite City Food & Brewery's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Restaurants industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Restaurants company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Granite City Food & Brewery's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Granite City Food & Brewery stock overvalued right now?
Granite City Food & Brewery (GCFB) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Granite City Food & Brewery (GCFB), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Granite City Food & Brewery Business Description

Address 12701 Whitewater Drive, Suite 290, Minnetonka, MN, USA, 55343
Granite City Food & Brewery Ltd owns and operates a restaurant with an on-site brewery. The company operates two casual dining concepts which include Granite city food and brewery and Cadillac ranch all American bar and grill. The Granite city restaurant theme is upscale casual dining with a wide variety of menu items, which includes handcrafted beers finished on-site. Cadillac Ranch restaurants feature authentic, cuisine in a fun, dynamic environment. Its menu is diverse with offerings ranging from homemade meatloaf to pasta dishes. It has approximately 36 restaurants in over 10 states. In addition, it also operates a centralized beer production facility in Ellsworth, Iowa which facilitates the initial stages of its brewing process.