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Gabelli Multimedia Trust (Gabelli Multimedia Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Gabelli Multimedia Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Gabelli Multimedia Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Gabelli Multimedia Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Gabelli Multimedia Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gabelli Multimedia Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Gabelli Multimedia Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gabelli Multimedia Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Gabelli Multimedia Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.67

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Gabelli Multimedia Trust  (NYSE:GGT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Gabelli Multimedia Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Gabelli Multimedia Trust (Gabelli Multimedia Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Corporate Center, Rye, New York, NY, USA, 10580-1422
Gabelli Multimedia Trust Inc is a non-diversified closed-end management investment company. Its investment objective is the long-term growth of capital. The fund invests at least 80% of its assets, under normal market conditions, in common stock and other securities, including convertible securities, preferred stock, options, and warrants of companies in the telecommunications, media, publishing, and entertainment industries.
Executives
Mario J Gabelli director 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Calgary Avansino director C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Anthony S. Colavita director C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Elizabeth C Bogan director C/O DINSMORE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO., 65 MADISON AVENUE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Peter D. Goldstein officer: Secretary 249 ROYAL PALM WAY, SUITE 503, PALM BEACH FL 33480
James P Conn director
John Birch director C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Bank Of America Corp /de/ 10 percent owner BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATE CENTER, 100 N TRYON ST, CHARLOTTE NC 28255
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Inc. other: Subsidiary 4 WORLD FINANCIAL CENTER, NORTH TOWER, NEW YORK NY 10080
Group Ag Ubs 10 percent owner BAHNHOFSTRASSE 45, ZURICH V8 CH-8001
Blue Ridge Investments, L.l.c. 10 percent owner ONE BRYANT PARK, NEW YORK NY 10036
John Chester Ball officer: Treasurer 800 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854
Kuni Nakamura director 1 MARTIN BUTLER COURT, RYE NY 10580
Christopher J. Marangi director C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Salvatore J Zizza director 810 SEVENTH AVE, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019

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