G-III Apparel Group (G-III Apparel Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 30, 2024)

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What is G-III Apparel Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, G-III Apparel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of G-III Apparel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, G-III Apparel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

G-III Apparel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, G-III Apparel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where G-III Apparel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

G-III Apparel Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-8.43

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

G-III Apparel Group (NAS:GIII) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

G-III Apparel Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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G-III Apparel Group (G-III Apparel Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories » G-III Apparel Group Ltd (NAS:GIII) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

GI4:Germany

Address

512 Seventh Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10018

Website

https://www.g-iii.com

G-III Apparel Group Ltd is a textile company. It makes a wide range of apparel, footwear, and accessories that it sells under its own brands, licensed brands, and private-label brands. G-III has a substantial portfolio for licensed and proprietary brands, anchored by five global power brands: DKNY, Donna Karan, Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, and Karl Lagerfeld. The company has two reportable operations: Wholesale Operations and Retail Operations. The Wholesale operations segment includes sales of products under brands licensed by us from third parties, as well as sales of products under its own brands and private label brands. The retail operations segment consists primarily of Wilsons Leather, G.H. Bass, and DKNY retail stores. It derives most of its revenues from Wholesale operations.

Executives

Neal Nackman	officer: Chief Financial Officer/Treas	C/O G-III APPAREL GROUP LTD, 512 SEVENTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10019
Laura H Pomerantz	director
Alan Feller	director	C/O GIII APPAREL GROUP LTD, 512 SEVENTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10018
Sammy Aaron	director, officer: Vice Chairman	C/O GIII APPAREL GROUP, 512 SEVENTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10019
Andrew Yaeger	director	512 SEVENTH AVE., NEW YORK NY 10018
Joyce F Brown	director	C/O RALPH LAUREN CORPORATION, 650 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael A Shaffer	director	C/O PHILLIPS-VAN HEUSEN CORPORATION, 200 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Morris Goldfarb	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O G-III APPAREL GROUP, 345 W 37TH ST, NY NY 10018
Amigo Victor Herrero	director	C/O CHW ACQUISITION CORPORATION, 2 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 403, PURCHASE NY 10577
Jeffrey David Goldfarb	director, other: Dir. of Business Develop.	G-III APPAREL, 512 SEVENTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10018
Patti H Ongman	director	C/O MACY'S, INC., 7 WEST SEVENTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Lisa W Wardell	director	5900 RYLAND DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
Thomas Brosig	director	C/O GIII APPAREL GROUP LTD, 512 SEVENTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10018
Wayne S Miller	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O GIII APPAREL GROUP LTD, 512 SEVENTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10018
Robert L Johnson	director	C/O RLJ COMPANIES, 3 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, SUITE 1000, BETHESDA MD 20814