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Clough Global Opportunities Fund (Clough Global Opportunities Fund) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Clough Global Opportunities Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Clough Global Opportunities Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Clough Global Opportunities Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Clough Global Opportunities Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Clough Global Opportunities Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Clough Global Opportunities Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Clough Global Opportunities Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Clough Global Opportunities Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.26

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Clough Global Opportunities Fund  (AMEX:GLO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Clough Global Opportunities Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Clough Global Opportunities Fund (Clough Global Opportunities Fund) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1290 Broadway, Suite 1000, Denver, CO, USA, 80203
Clough Global Opportunities Fund is a closed-end management investment company based in the United States. Its investment objective is to provide a high level of total return. The fund invests in a mix of U.S. and non-U.S. equity and debt securities.
Executives
Charles Jr Clough other: Person affiliated with Inv Adv 53 STATE STREET, 27TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109
Christopher Moore officer: Secretary 1700 BROADWAY, SUITE 1850, DENVER CO 80290
Jill Kerschen officer: Treasurer 1700 BROADWAY, SUITE 1850, DENVER CO 80290
Clough Capital Partners, L.p. other: Investment Advisor of Fund 53 STATE STREET, 27TH FLOOR, SUITE 2702, BOSTON MA 02109
Michael Jason Hearle other: Person affiliated with Inv Adv 53 STATE STREET, 27TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109
Kevin Joseph Mcnally other: Trustee 53 STATE STREET, 27TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109
Lainey Ejiasa officer: President 1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80203
Dylan Riter Mikel other: Assistant Treasurer 2921 SOUTH COORS DRIVE, LAKEWOOD CO 80228
Adams Nicholas other: Secretary 1055 BROADWAY, 3RD FL, KANSAS CITY MT 64105
Ryan Johanson officer: Treasurer 1290 BROADWAY SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80203
Alex James Marks officer: Assistant Secretary 1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80203
Erich Rettinger officer: Treasurer 1290 BROADWAY SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80203
Kelly Mcewen officer: Treasurer 5050 S. SYRACUSE ST., SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80237
Karen Ann Digravio other: Trustee 1700 BROADWAY, SUITE 1850, DENVER CO 80290
Lucas D Foss officer: Chief Compliance Officer 1290 BROADWAY SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80203

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