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Hess Midstream LP (Hess Midstream LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Hess Midstream LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Hess Midstream LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Hess Midstream LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Hess Midstream LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hess Midstream LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Hess Midstream LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hess Midstream LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Hess Midstream LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.71

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Hess Midstream LP  (NYSE:HESM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Hess Midstream LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Hess Midstream LP (Hess Midstream LP) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Hess Midstream LP (NYSE:HESM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1501 McKinney Street, Houston, TX, USA, 77010
Hess Midstream LP owns, operates, develops, and acquires a diverse set of midstream assets and provides fee-based services to Hess and third-party customers. It conducts its business through three operating segments: gathering, processing and storage, and terminaling and exporting. The company derives the maximum revenue from the gathering segment. Its gathering segment consists of the following assets namely Natural Gas Gathering and Compression; Crude Oil Gathering and Produced Water Gathering and Disposal.
Executives
Global Infrastructure Investors Ii, Llc director, 10 percent owner C/O GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS, 12 E. 49TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10017
Hess Corp director, 10 percent owner 1185 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Jonathan C. Stein officer: Chief Financial Officer HESS MIDSTREAM PARTNERS LP, 1185 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
John A. Gatling officer: President and COO HESS MIDSTREAM PARTNERS LP, 1185 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Geurt G Schoonman director HESS CORPORATION, 1185 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
James K Lee director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Gip Ii Blue Holding, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE MANAGEMENT LLC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Letwin Stephen J J director HESS MIDSTREAM PARTNERS LP, 1185 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
John B Hess director, officer: Chairman and CEO C/O HESS CORPORATION, 1185 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Global Infrastructure Gp Ii, L.p. director, 10 percent owner 12 EAST 49TH STREET, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
J Patrick Reddy director
Hess Infrastructure Partners Gp Llc director, 10 percent owner 1501 MCKINNEY STREET, HOUSTON TX 77010
Hess Midstream Gp Llc director, 10 percent owner 1501 MCKINNEY STREET, HOUSTON TX 77010
Hess Midstream Gp Lp director, 10 percent owner 1501 MCKINNEY STREET, HOUSTON TX 77010
Gip Blue Holding Gp, Llc director, 10 percent owner 12 EAST 49TH STREET, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017

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