Computime Group (HKSE:00320) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.06% (As of Aug. 22, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

HKSE:00320 Computime Group Ltd HKSE:00320
52 GF Score
Price HK$0.46
GF Value HK$0.45
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Computime Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Computime Group HKSE:00320 52 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06% as of Aug. 22, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:00320 with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.45 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Computime Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Computime Group  (HKSE:00320) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Computime Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

HKSE:00320 vs VRT, BE: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, Computime Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Computime Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Computime Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Computime Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


HKSE:00320
52GF Score
Computime Group Ltd HKSE:00320
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Computime Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.44

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% mean?
Computime Group (HKSE:00320) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% as of Aug. 22, 2026.
Is Computime Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Computime Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. Overall, Computime Group has a GF Score™ of 52/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Computime Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to VRT and BE?
Computime Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% can be compared against companies in the Industrial Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Industrial Products company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Computime Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Computime Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Computime Group (HKSE:00320) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.45, compared to a current price of HK$0.46 — trading 2.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. Computime Group's overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Computime Group (HKSE:00320), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06% as of Aug. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Computime Group (HKSE:00320) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Computime Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$0.46 is trading 2.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.45. GuruFocus considers Computime Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:00320:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.06%
  • GF Value™: HK$0.45 vs. price of HK$0.46 (2.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:00320 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Computime Group Business Description

Address 20 Science Park East Avenue, 6th Floor, Building 20E, Phase 3, Hong Kong Science Park, Shatin, New Territories, Hong Kong, HKG
Computime Group Ltd is engaged in research and development, design, manufacture, trading, and distribution of electronic control products. The company operates in business segments that include the Control Solutions Business provides design, engineering, technology, and manufacturing services, including Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) and Original Design Manufacturer; and the Branded Business segment, which offers smart home, energy management, and home solutions to professional installers, property developers, utility companies, and wholesaler. The company generates a vast majority of its revenue from the Control solutions segment. Geographically, the operations are spread throughout America, Europe, Oceania, and Asia.
52GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:00320

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.46
Price
HK$0.45
GF Value