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Domaine Power Holdings (HKSE:00442) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.17% (As of Jun. 14, 2024)


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What is Domaine Power Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Domaine Power Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.17%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Domaine Power Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Domaine Power Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Domaine Power Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Domaine Power Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Domaine Power Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Domaine Power Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.35

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.17%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Domaine Power Holdings  (HKSE:00442) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Domaine Power Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Domaine Power Holdings (HKSE:00442) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 213 Queen’s Road East, Unit 2203A, 22 floor, Wu Chung House, Wan Chai, Hong Kong, HKG
Domaine Power Holdings Ltd is engaged in the manufacture and sale of jewelry products the trading of precious metals and raw jewellery materials. It is engaged in designing, manufacturing, and exporting fine jewelry to jewelry wholesalers and retailers mainly in America, European countries, China, and the Middle East. It offers a wide range of fine jewelry products in karat gold, including bracelets, bangles, brooches, earrings, pendants, rings, necklaces, cufflinks, and anklets. It generates the majority of its revenue from Hong Kong.
Executives
Perfect Gain Group Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Cheng Miu Bing Christina 2202 Interest of your spouse
So Shu Fai 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
River Honor Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nian Yong An 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ci Hang Dong Xi Fang Wen Jiao Jiao Liu Ji Jin Hui You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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