Macau E&M Holding (HKSE:01408) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Mar. 26, 2025)

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What is Macau E&M Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Macau E&M Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Macau E&M Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Macau E&M Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Macau E&M Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Macau E&M Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Macau E&M Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Macau E&M Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-8.87

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Macau E&M Holding (HKSE:01408) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Macau E&M Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Macau E&M Holding Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » Macau E&M Holding Ltd (HKSE:01408) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Avenida da Concordia, NO. 175–181, Tower B and D, 10th floor, Edificio Industrial Wang Fu, Macao, MAC

Website

http://www.macauem.com

Macau E&M Holding Ltd is an Electrical & Mechanical engineering services works contractor in Macau. The company provides a comprehensive mix of E&M engineering services works based on the contractual needs of its customers in Macau, which involve a combination of the supply and/or installation of LV systems works; HVAC systems work; and ELV systems work, and the relevant testing and commissioning thereof, as well as management and monitoring of quality and delivery of its E&M engineering services, works. It also provides maintenance and repair services to its customers.

Executives

Cheong Ka Wo	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lo Chao Ieng	2202 Interest of your spouse
Macau E&m Group Limited	2101 Beneficial owner
One Wesco Inc.	2101 Beneficial owner
Leong Kam In	2202 Interest of your spouse
Leong Kam Leng	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Macau E&m Assets Limited	2101 Beneficial owner
Bridge Capital Limited	2101 Beneficial owner
Law Ming Chu	2202 Interest of your spouse
Tam Chi Wai	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Li Sau Fun	2202 Interest of your spouse
Tsang Yuen Wai Samuel	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

Macau E&M Holding Headlines

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