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Landsea Green Life Service Co (HKSE:01965) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 5.00% (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


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What is Landsea Green Life Service Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Landsea Green Life Service Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 5.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Landsea Green Life Service Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Landsea Green Life Service Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Landsea Green Life Service Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Landsea Green Life Service Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Landsea Green Life Service Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Landsea Green Life Service Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-2.94

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=5.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Landsea Green Life Service Co  (HKSE:01965) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Landsea Green Life Service Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Landsea Green Life Service Co (HKSE:01965) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
98 Jianye Road, 10th-11th Floor, Qinhuai District, Jiangsu Province, Nanjing, CHN, 210004
Landsea Green Life Service Co Ltd is a China-based investment holding company that provides property management services. The Company mainly operates through three sectors: property management services, non-owner value-added services, and community value-added services. Property management services include security, cleaning, gardening and landscaping, parking lot management, and daily maintenance and maintenance services. Value-added services for non-owners mainly include case services, pre-consultancy services, other pre-services, and the provision of property agency services. Community value-added services include home life services, public resource management services, and second-hand housing property agency services. Its properties include residential and non-residential properties.
Executives
Tian Ming 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Honor Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Tian Family Investment Pte. Ltd. 2101 Beneficial owner
Tian Family Holding Pte. Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lin Bofeng 2101 Beneficial owner
Nan Jing Xin Gong Tou Zi Ji Tuan You Xian Ze Ren Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nan Jing Fang Zhi Pin Jin Chu Kou Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
State-owned Assets Supervision And Administration Commission Of Nanjing Municipal Government 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nanjing Urban Construction Investment Holdings (group) Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nanjing Tourism Group Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nanjing State-owned Assets Investment Management Holdings (group) Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lucky Front Investments Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Chen Huaijun 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Murong Xinyao 2202 Interest of your spouse
Lin Jinfeng 2101 Beneficial owner

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