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Laekna (HKSE:02105) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Apr. 01, 2025)


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What is Laekna Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Laekna's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Laekna's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Laekna's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Laekna's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Laekna's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Laekna's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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Laekna Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.35

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Laekna  (HKSE:02105) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Laekna Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Laekna Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Laekna Inc (HKSE:02105) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 3-2-467, 5 Xingbin Road (Lin Li Center), Sino-Italy Ningbo Ecological Park, Zhejiang Province, Yuyao, CHN, 201203
Laekna Inc is a science-driven, clinical-stage biotechnology company. The company has established a comprehensive R&D infrastructure to accelerate the development of molecules from discovery to registrational trials. It has initiated one clinical trial and another five clinical trials for its Core Products LAE002 and LAE001. Among these six clinical trials, three multi-regional clinical trials (MRCTs) are designed to address medical needs in the standard of care (SOC)-resistant cancers. Laekna has two Core Products and 14 other pipeline product candidates. Core Product LAE002 is an adenosine triphosphate (ATP) competitive AKT inhibitor for the treatment of ovarian cancer, prostate cancer, breast cancer and PD-1/PD-L1 drug-resistant solid tumors.
Executives
Guo Tou Zhao Shang Tou Zi Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Xian Jin Zhi Zao Chan Ye Tou Zi Ji Jin Er Qi You Xian He Huo 2101 Beneficial owner
Yu Yao Yang Ming Gu Quan Tou Zi Ji Jin You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Lu Chris Xiangyang 2501 Other
Zhong Yi Ning Bo Sheng Tai Yuan Kong Gu Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Laekna Wonderland Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Orbimed Advisors Iii Limited 2102 Investment manager
Orbimed Asia Partners Iii, L.p. 2102 Investment manager
Orbimed Asia Gp Iii, L.p. 2102 Investment manager
Shang Hai Jin Pu Yi Liao Jian Kang Gu Quan Tou Zi Ji Jin Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Gp Healthcare Capital, Inc. 2101 Beneficial owner
Shang Hai Jin Pu Yi Liao Jian Kang Gu Quan Tou Zi He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Liu Zeng 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ealex Llc 2101 Beneficial owner
Xie Ling 2501 Other

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