Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings (HKSE:02682) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Aug. 15, 2026)

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HKSE:02682 Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Ltd HKSE:02682
62 GF Score
Price HK$0.13
GF Value HK$0.18
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings HKSE:02682 -0.79% 62 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Aug. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:02682 with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.18 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings  (HKSE:02682) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison

For the Marine Shipping subindustry, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


HKSE:02682
62GF Score
Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Ltd HKSE:02682
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.25

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings (HKSE:02682) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Aug. 15, 2026.
Is Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Transportation company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings (HKSE:02682) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.18, compared to a current price of HK$0.13 — trading 30.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings (HKSE:02682), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Aug. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings (HKSE:02682) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$0.13 is trading 30.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.18. GuruFocus considers Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:02682:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: HK$0.18 vs. price of HK$0.13 (30.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:02682 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Business Description

Address 10 Cheung Yue Street, Flat D, 31st Floor, Billion Plaza II, Kowloon, Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong, HKG
Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Ltd is a maritime services provider. The company's operating segment includes Vessel chartering and related services, Marine construction services and Ship management services. The Vessel chartering and related services segment provide vessel chartering services mainly to contractors for construction projects in Hong Kong, including time chartering representing the hiring of vessel and crew for a specific period of time and voyage chartering representing the hiring of vessel and crew for a specific voyage between two designated locations. The Company provides ship management services for the provision of crew members for daily operation and the repair and maintenance services.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:02682

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.13
Price
HK$0.18
GF Value