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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.31%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co (HKSE:06162) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
HKSE:06162 vs ORLY, AZO: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Auto Parts subindustry, China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Vehicles & Parts Industry
For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-5.79
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.31% mean?
China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co (HKSE:06162) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.31% as of Aug. 10, 2026.
Is China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.31%.
How does China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to ORLY and AZO?
China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.31% can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.31%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co (HKSE:06162) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.16, compared to a current price of HK$0.09 — trading 46.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.31%. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co (HKSE:06162), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.31% as of Aug. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
China Tianrui Automotive Interiors Co Ltd is an investment holding company. It is engaged in the manufacturing and selling of automotive interior and exterior decorative components and parts. The company manufactures products for Heavy trucks as well as for Passenger vehicles. Some of its products are Floor mats, Instrument panels, headliners, Overhead compartments, Door Trim panels, Fender, Side mirror components, Ventilation components, mirror components, and Headlight assembly components. Its operating segment includes the Heavy trucks decorative components and parts segment and the Passenger vehicles decorative components and parts segment. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Heavy trucks decorative components and parts segment.
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