Sino-Ocean Service Holding (HKSE:06677) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 99.45% (As of Aug. 29, 2026)

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HKSE:06677 Sino-Ocean Service Holding Ltd HKSE:06677
59 GF Score
Price HK$0.31
GF Value HK$0.61
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Sino-Ocean Service Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Sino-Ocean Service Holding HKSE:06677 59 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 99.45% as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:06677 with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.61 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sino-Ocean Service Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 99.45%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Sino-Ocean Service Holding  (HKSE:06677) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Sino-Ocean Service Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

HKSE:06677 vs CBRE, BEKE, JLL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Sino-Ocean Service Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Sino-Ocean Service Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Sino-Ocean Service Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sino-Ocean Service Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


HKSE:06677
59GF Score
Sino-Ocean Service Holding Ltd HKSE:06677
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Sino-Ocean Service Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=5.19

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=99.45%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 99.45% mean?
Sino-Ocean Service Holding (HKSE:06677) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 99.45% as of Aug. 29, 2026.
Is Sino-Ocean Service Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Sino-Ocean Service Holding's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 99.45%. Overall, Sino-Ocean Service Holding has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sino-Ocean Service Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to CBRE and BEKE?
Sino-Ocean Service Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 99.45% can be compared against companies in the Real Estate industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Real Estate company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Sino-Ocean Service Holding's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 99.45%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sino-Ocean Service Holding stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sino-Ocean Service Holding (HKSE:06677) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.61, compared to a current price of HK$0.31 — trading 49.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 99.45%. Sino-Ocean Service Holding's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sino-Ocean Service Holding (HKSE:06677), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 99.45% as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Sino-Ocean Service Holding (HKSE:06677) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sino-Ocean Service Holding stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$0.31 is trading 49.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.61. GuruFocus considers Sino-Ocean Service Holding to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:06677:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 99.45%
  • GF Value™: HK$0.61 vs. price of HK$0.31 (49.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:06677 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Sino-Ocean Service Holding Business Description

Address 56 Dongsihuanzhonglu, 3rd Floor, Tower A, Ocean International Center, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN
Sino-Ocean Service Holding Ltd is engaged in the provision of property management services, community value-added services and value-added services to non-property owners in the People's Republic of China (the PRC). It manages a portfolio of diversified property types covering mid- to high-end residential properties, commercial properties such as shopping malls and office buildings, and public and other properties, providing customers with comprehensive services along the value chain of property management, including property management services, community value-added services and value-added services to non-property owners. The company has three principal business segments: property management services; community value-added services; and value-added services to non-property owners.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:06677

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.31
Price
HK$0.61
GF Value