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OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings (HKSE:06929) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Apr. 08, 2025)


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What is OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.87

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings  (HKSE:06929) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3rd Floor, Building 20E, Units 303 and 305, Hong Kong Science Park, Shatin New Town, Hong Kong, HKG
OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings Ltd is a China-based medical device maker of endovascular interventional instruments with majority reach. It launched its first research base in 2001 and was listed on the Hong Kong Exchange in 2022. As of 2023, OrbusNeich's majority revenue segment by geography is Japan with 24.7% of total revenue followed by Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, with 23.6% of total revenue. The Asia-Pacific region and the United States make up the balance. Its product segment is coronary interventional medical devices, such as scoring balloons, non-compliant balloons, or stents, together representing 82.7% of its total revenue.
Executives
Harmony Tree Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Shenzhen Capital Group Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Suzhou Red Earth Yeju Investment Ltd. 2101 Beneficial owner
Chien David 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lau Kwai Ching Denise 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shen Chuang Tou Zhi Zao Ye Zhuan Xing Sheng Ji Xin Cai Liao Ji Jin You Xian He Huo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shen Chuang Tou Hong Tu Si Mu Gu Quan Tou Zi Ji Jin Guan Li Shen Zhen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Su Zhou Hong Tu Ye Ju Chuang Ye Tou Zi He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings Headlines

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