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Kingwisoft Technology Group Co (HKSE:08295) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.13% (As of Mar. 26, 2025)


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What is Kingwisoft Technology Group Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kingwisoft Technology Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kingwisoft Technology Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Kingwisoft Technology Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kingwisoft Technology Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Kingwisoft Technology Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kingwisoft Technology Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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Kingwisoft Technology Group Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.67

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.13%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kingwisoft Technology Group Co  (HKSE:08295) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kingwisoft Technology Group Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kingwisoft Technology Group Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
33 Hysan Avenue, Room 1204, 12th Floor, Lee Garden One, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong, HKG
Kingwisoft Technology Group Co Ltd through its subsidiaries engages in investment holding, provision of back-office services primarily provision of customer service solutions, comprehensive marketing services, data center services, corporate advisory services, investment advisory, asset management services, proprietary investments, and money lending. It operates in two segments: Value-added telecommunication and related services and Financial services. The Value-added telecommunication and related services segment that derives the majority of revenue engages in the provision of value-added telecommunications and related services, including back-office services, comprehensive marketing services, and data center services.
Executives
Hu Shi Long
Xie Zhikun 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Zhi Ze Yun Capital Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ninego Corporation 2101 Beneficial owner
Gfly Ltd 2101 Beneficial owner
Lvyy Cayman Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lvyy Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lyu Wenyang 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Tian Xi Capital Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Liu Ying Ying 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Hai Cheng Feng Bei Jing Zi Ben Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhong Zhi Zi Ben Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhong Hai Cheng Rong Bei Jing Zi Ben Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner

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