Ying Hai Group Holdings Co (HKSE:08668) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.39% (As of Jul. 03, 2026)


HKSE:08668 Ying Hai Group Holdings Co Ltd HKSE:08668
46 GF Score
Price HK$0.12
GF Value HK$0.13
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Ying Hai Group Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Ying Hai Group Holdings Co HKSE:08668 46 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.39% as of Jul. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:08668 with a GF Score™ of 46/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.13 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ying Hai Group Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.39%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ying Hai Group Holdings Co  (HKSE:08668) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ying Hai Group Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


HKSE:08668 vs BKNG, ABNB, RCL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Ying Hai Group Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ying Hai Group Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ying Hai Group Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ying Hai Group Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


HKSE:08668
46GF Score
Ying Hai Group Holdings Co Ltd HKSE:08668
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Ying Hai Group Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.55

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.39%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.39% mean?
Ying Hai Group Holdings Co (HKSE:08668) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.39% as of Jul. 03, 2026.
Is Ying Hai Group Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Ying Hai Group Holdings Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.39%. Overall, Ying Hai Group Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 46/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ying Hai Group Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BKNG and ABNB?
Ying Hai Group Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.39% can be compared against companies in the Travel & Leisure industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Ying Hai Group Holdings Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.39%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ying Hai Group Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ying Hai Group Holdings Co (HKSE:08668) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.13, compared to a current price of HK$0.12 — trading 5.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.39%. Ying Hai Group Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 46/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ying Hai Group Holdings Co (HKSE:08668), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.39% as of Jul. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ying Hai Group Holdings Co (HKSE:08668) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ying Hai Group Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$0.12 is trading 5.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.13. GuruFocus considers Ying Hai Group Holdings Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:08668:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.39%
  • GF Value™: HK$0.13 vs. price of HK$0.12 (5.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 46/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:08668 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ying Hai Group Holdings Co Business Description

Address 67 Mody Road, Room 506, 5th Floor, Peninsula Centre, Tsim Sha Tsui East, Hong Kong, HKG
Ying Hai Group Holdings Co Ltd is an investment holding company. It is principally engaged in the travel business consisting of sales and distribution of hotel rooms and margin income from sales, distribution and provision of air tickets, hotel rooms and ancillary travel-related products in Macau, the vehicle business represents the provision of vehicle leasing and limousine services, the show and event business represents the sales of show and event tickets, organising the shows and events and related ancillary services in Asia and investment in events. It has three segments Travel business; Vehicle business; Show and event business. The company generates majority of revenue from Travel business. It has presence in Hong Kong, Macau, others of which majority of customers are from Macau.
46GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:08668

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.12
Price
HK$0.13
GF Value