IGGRF (IG Group Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


IGGRF IG Group Holdings PLC IGGRF
76 GF Score
Price $24.80
GF Value $15.94
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is IG Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

IG Group Holdings IGGRF 76 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates IGGRF with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of $15.94 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, IG Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


IG Group Holdings  (OTCPK:IGGRF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


IG Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


IGGRF vs MS, GS, SCHW: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, IG Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


IG Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, IG Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where IG Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


IGGRF
76GF Score
IG Group Holdings PLC IGGRF
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

IG Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.51

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
IG Group Holdings (IGGRF) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is IG Group Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
IG Group Holdings' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, IG Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does IG Group Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to MS and GS?
IG Group Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Capital Markets industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Capital Markets company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. IG Group Holdings's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is IG Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, IG Group Holdings (IGGRF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $15.94, compared to a current price of $24.80 — trading 55.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. IG Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For IG Group Holdings (IGGRF), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is IG Group Holdings (IGGRF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, IG Group Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $24.80 is trading 55.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $15.94. GuruFocus considers IG Group Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for IGGRF:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00%
  • GF Value™: $15.94 vs. price of $24.80 (55.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the IGGRF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


IG Group Holdings Business Description

Address Cannon Bridge House, 25 Dowgate Hill, London, GBR, EC4R 2YA
IG Group Holdings PLC provides online trading services to its clients. The majority of the company's revenue stems from its derivative products and contracts for difference (CFDs). The company operates through various segments which are The U.K. segment which derives its revenue from financial spread bets, CFDs, binary options, and execution-only stockbroking. The Australian segment derives its revenue from CFDs and binary options. The European segment derives its revenue from CFDs, binary options, and execution-only stockbroking. The Rest of the World segment derives its revenue from the operation of a regulated futures and options exchange as well as CFDs and binary options. The company generates more than half of its revenue from the U.K., followed by Europe and Australia.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IGGRF

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$24.80
Price
$15.94
GF Value