PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk (ISX:DVLA) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02% (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


ISX:DVLA PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk ISX:DVLA
73 GF Score
Price Rp1,595.00
GF Value Rp1,840.45
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk ISX:DVLA 73 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:DVLA with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp1,840.45 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk  (ISX:DVLA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


ISX:DVLA vs ZTS, UTHR, VTRS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


ISX:DVLA
73GF Score
PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk ISX:DVLA
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.69

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk (ISX:DVLA) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jun. 28, 2026.
Is PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to ZTS and UTHR?
PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Drug Manufacturers company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Drug Manufacturers industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk (ISX:DVLA) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp1,840.45, compared to a current price of Rp1,595.00 — trading 13.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk (ISX:DVLA), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk (ISX:DVLA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of Rp1,595.00 is trading 13.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp1,840.45. GuruFocus considers PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:DVLA:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
  • GF Value™: Rp1,840.45 vs. price of Rp1,595.00 (13.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:DVLA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk Business Description

Address Jalan. R.A. Kartini Kav. 8, 18th-19th Floor, South Quarter, Tower C, Jakarta, IDN, 12430
PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk (Darya-Varia) is operating in the pharmaceutical industry. It is engaged in the manufacture and trade of pharmaceutical products, human, traditional medicines, pharmaceutical materials, raw materials for traditional medicines, inorganic base chemicals, organic base chemicals, equipment for surgery, medical and dental care, and equipment, orthopedic equipment, prosthetic, eyeglasses, laboratory and health equipment from glass, cosmetics, wholesaler of pharmaceutical, traditional medicine, chemical base materials, laboratory testing services, periodic inspection services, and many more activities. Its business segments include: prescription drugs; consumer health products, which derives key revenue; export and toll manufacturing services; and services.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:DVLA

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp1,595.00
Price
Rp1,840.45
GF Value