Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk (ISX:FISH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
ISX:FISH vs ADM, BG, TSN: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Farm Products subindustry, PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-6.76
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.12% mean?
PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk (ISX:FISH) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.12% as of Jul. 04, 2026.
Is PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%. Overall, PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to ADM and BG?
PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.12% can be compared against companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk (ISX:FISH) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp762.42, compared to a current price of Rp600.00 — trading 21.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%. PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk (ISX:FISH), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12% as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk (ISX:FISH) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of Rp600.00 is trading 21.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp762.42.
GuruFocus considers PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for ISX:FISH:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.12%
GF Value™: Rp762.42 vs. price of Rp600.00 (21.3% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:FISH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk is engaged in the distribution and trading of grains, oilseeds, and feed ingredients. It supplies oilseed meals, animal protein meals, and co-products of grain milling for the animal feed industry. The company deals with food products such as rice, soybeans, and cooking oil. In addition, the company also provides a logistics solution for the importation and distribution of dry bulk commodities. The group's business activities are classified into three business segments, consisting of Trading and distribution, Manufacturing and logistics, of which the majority of the revenue is derived from the Trading and distribution segment. The organization generates key revenue from Indonesia.
67GF Score
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