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Kinetik Holdings (Kinetik Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Kinetik Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kinetik Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kinetik Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Kinetik Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kinetik Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Kinetik Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kinetik Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Kinetik Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.36

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kinetik Holdings  (NYSE:KNTK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kinetik Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kinetik Holdings (Kinetik Holdings) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Kinetik Holdings Inc (NYSE:KNTK) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2700 Post Oak Boulevard, Suite 300, Houston, TX, USA, 77056-4400
Kinetik is a midstream operator that provides gathering and processing services to gas and oil producers as well as pipeline transportation. It operates exclusively in Texas, serving the Permian Basin and connecting fields with market hubs and other large pipelines. In addition to directly operating pipelines, Kinetik also holds ownership stakes in several pipelines that transport molecules to the Gulf Coast enabling it to obtain exposure to export markets and international demand.
Executives
Kevin S Mccarthy director C/O KAYNE ANDERSON CAPITAL ADVISORS, LP, 1800 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SECOND FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Jamie Welch director, officer: See Remarks 3738 OAK LAWN AVE., DALLAS TX 75219
Apache Corp 10 percent owner 2000 POST OAK BLVD, STE 100, HOUSTON TX 77056-4400
Trevor Howard officer: See Remark 2700 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77056
Todd Carpenter officer: See Remarks 2001 BRYAN STREET, SUITE 3700, DALLAS TX 75201
Matthew Wall officer: Executive Vice President, COO 2700 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77056
Steven Stellato officer: See Remarks 645 HAMILTON STREET, SUITE 500, ALLENTOWN PA 18101
Anne Psencik officer: Chief Strategy Officer 2700 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77056
Jesse Krynak director 2700 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77056
Deborah L Byers director C/O EXCELERATE ENERGY, INC., 2445 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD., LEVEL 6, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Ronald Schweizer director 2700 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77056
Bcp Vii/bep Ii Holdings Manager L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bcp Raptor Aggregator L.p. 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
I Squared Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 600 BRICKELL AVENUE, PENTHOUSE, MIAMI FL 33131-3067
John-paul Munfa director C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154