Advanced Technology Co KSCC (KUW:ATC) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.32% (As of Jul. 27, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

KUW:ATC Advanced Technology Co KSCC KUW:ATC
18 GF Score
Price KWD0.55
GF Value KWD0.34
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Advanced Technology Co KSCC Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Advanced Technology Co KSCC KUW:ATC 18 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.32% as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates KUW:ATC with a GF Score™ of 18/100 and a GF Value™ of KWD0.34 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Advanced Technology Co KSCC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.32%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Advanced Technology Co KSCC  (KUW:ATC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Advanced Technology Co KSCC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


KUW:ATC vs MCK, COR, CAH: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Medical Distribution subindustry, Advanced Technology Co KSCC's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advanced Technology Co KSCC Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Medical Distribution Industry

For the Medical Distribution industry and Healthcare sector, Advanced Technology Co KSCC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advanced Technology Co KSCC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


KUW:ATC
18GF Score
Advanced Technology Co KSCC KUW:ATC
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Advanced Technology Co KSCC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.75

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.32%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.32% mean?
Advanced Technology Co KSCC (KUW:ATC) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.32% as of Jul. 27, 2026.
Is Advanced Technology Co KSCC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Advanced Technology Co KSCC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.32%. Overall, Advanced Technology Co KSCC has a GF Score™ of 18/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Advanced Technology Co KSCC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to MCK and COR?
Advanced Technology Co KSCC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.32% can be compared against companies in the Medical Distribution industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Medical Distribution company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Medical Distribution industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Advanced Technology Co KSCC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.32%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Advanced Technology Co KSCC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Advanced Technology Co KSCC (KUW:ATC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is KWD0.34, compared to a current price of KWD0.55 — trading 60.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.32%. Advanced Technology Co KSCC's overall GF Score™ is 18/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Advanced Technology Co KSCC (KUW:ATC), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.32% as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Advanced Technology Co KSCC (KUW:ATC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Advanced Technology Co KSCC stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of KWD0.55 is trading 60.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of KWD0.34. GuruFocus considers Advanced Technology Co KSCC to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KUW:ATC:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.32%
  • GF Value™: KWD0.34 vs. price of KWD0.55 (60.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 18/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KUW:ATC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Advanced Technology Co KSCC Business Description

Address Salem Al Mubarak Street, ATC Tower, P.O.Box: 44558, ATC Tower Opposite Laila Tower, Block 4, Salmiya, Hawali, Kuwait, KWT, 32060
Advanced Technology Co KSCC is a medical equipment supplier to the Kuwait healthcare sector. Some of the services provided by the company are - Diagnostic imaging, Laboratory environmental management and Automation, Medical & surgical O.R solutions, Healthcare manpower services, and more. The company has two main business segment i.e. supply of medical goods and maintenance services and provision of healthcare services. also engages in constructing, managing, and possessing hospitals, medical centers, clinics, and specialized labs. In addition, the firm offers a pharmacy license, and home care services.
18GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KUW:ATC

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

KWD0.55
Price
KWD0.34
GF Value