Mabanee Co KPSC (KUW:MABANEE) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Sep. 10, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

KUW:MABANEE Mabanee Co KPSC KUW:MABANEE
54 GF Score
Price KWD0.95
GF Value KWD0.78
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Mabanee Co KPSC Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Mabanee Co KPSC KUW:MABANEE 54 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Sep. 10, 2026. GuruFocus rates KUW:MABANEE with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of KWD0.78 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Mabanee Co KPSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Mabanee Co KPSC  (KUW:MABANEE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Mabanee Co KPSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

KUW:MABANEE vs JOE: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Mabanee Co KPSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Mabanee Co KPSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Mabanee Co KPSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mabanee Co KPSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


KUW:MABANEE
54GF Score
Mabanee Co KPSC KUW:MABANEE
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Mabanee Co KPSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.82

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Mabanee Co KPSC (KUW:MABANEE) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Sep. 10, 2026.
Is Mabanee Co KPSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Mabanee Co KPSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Mabanee Co KPSC has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mabanee Co KPSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to JOE?
Mabanee Co KPSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Real Estate industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Real Estate company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Mabanee Co KPSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mabanee Co KPSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mabanee Co KPSC (KUW:MABANEE) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is KWD0.78, compared to a current price of KWD0.95 — trading 22.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Mabanee Co KPSC's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mabanee Co KPSC (KUW:MABANEE), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Sep. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mabanee Co KPSC (KUW:MABANEE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mabanee Co KPSC stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of KWD0.95 is trading 22.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of KWD0.78. GuruFocus considers Mabanee Co KPSC to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KUW:MABANEE:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: KWD0.78 vs. price of KWD0.95 (22.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 54/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KUW:MABANEE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Mabanee Co KPSC Business Description

Address Al Rai Area, Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan Al Nahyan Road, P.O. Box 5132, The Avenues - 2nd Avenue, Entrance 9, Safat, Kuwait, KWT, 13052
Mabanee Co KPSC is engaged in construction works and investing in construction, reconstruction and housing operations, and owns, sells and develops real estate properties and lands. Its activities include construction of buildings, establishing shopping malls, property sale, rent, management and maintenance, and owning and operating hotels and touristic utilities. The company operates through two reportable segments: Construction and real estate operations, which generate maximum revenue and include leasing of properties, real estate development, projects leasing and construction activity for self or others; and Hotel operations, which include hotel services provided through Hilton Garden Inn Hotel and Waldorf Astoria Hotel, Kuwait. The Group operates in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain.
54GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KUW:MABANEE

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

KWD0.95
Price
KWD0.78
GF Value