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Semper Paratus Acquisition (Semper Paratus Acquisition) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Jun. 02, 2024)


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What is Semper Paratus Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Semper Paratus Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Semper Paratus Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Semper Paratus Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Semper Paratus Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Semper Paratus Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Semper Paratus Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Semper Paratus Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Semper Paratus Acquisition  (NAS:LGST) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Semper Paratus Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Semper Paratus Acquisition (Semper Paratus Acquisition) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Semper Paratus Acquisition Corp (NAS:LGST) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
IFIN ACRO VAQC SUAC TRIS EVE SBXC IVCA CLIN FLME PBAJ SVMB SCRM CVII AAC GHIX ALCC AACT DWAC SAGA
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
767 Third Avenue, 38th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10017
Website
https://www.semperparatusspac.com
Semper Paratus Acquisition Corp is a special purpose acquisition company incorporated for the purpose of effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses.
Executives
Corbin Erisa Opportunity Fund, Ltd. 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael L Peterson director 17 CANARY COURT, DANVILLE CA 94526
Ssvk Associates, Llc 10 percent owner 8911 REGENTS PARK DRIVE, SUITE 550, TAMPA FL 33647
Scott Harris Sussman director 616 POPPY AVE, CORONA DEL MAR CA 92625
Avinash R Wadhwani director 3 YARD COURT, FLEMINGTON NJ 08822
Donald G. Fell director 17537 DARBY LANE, LUTZ FL 33558
Surendra K Ajjarapu director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman 8604 BUTTON BUSH CT, TAMPA FL 33647
Knuettel Ii Francis officer: Chief Financial Officer 205 NEWBURY ST, SUITE 204, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Corbin Capital Partners, L.p. 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Corbin Capital Partners Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jeff Rogers officer: President 720 SPYGLASS HILL, HOLLAND MI 49424
Semper Paratus Sponsor Llc 10 percent owner 767 THIRD AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Philippe J Kurzweil officer: CFO & Secretary C/O SEMPER PARATUS ACQUISITION CORP., 767 THIRD AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Parizad Olver director C/O SEMPER PARATUS ACQUISITION CORP., 767 THIRD AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Brad Stewart director C/O SEMPER PARATUS ACQUISITION CORP., 767 THIRD AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017