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Linde (LIN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Linde Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Linde's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Linde's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Linde's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Linde's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Linde's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Linde's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Linde Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.35

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Linde  (NAS:LIN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Linde Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Linde Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » Linde PLC (NAS:LIN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Address
10 Riverview Drive, Danbury, CT, USA, 06810
Linde is the largest industrial gas supplier in the world, with operations in over 100 countries. The firm's main products are atmospheric gases (including oxygen, nitrogen, and argon) and process gases (including hydrogen, carbon dioxide, and helium), as well as equipment used in industrial gas production. Linde serves a wide variety of end markets, including chemicals, manufacturing, healthcare, and steelmaking. Linde generated approximately $33 billion in revenue in 2023.
Executives
John Panikar officer: Executive VP, APAC 39 OLD RIDGEBURY ROAD, DANBURY CT 06810-5113
Oliver Pfann officer: Senior Vice President, EMEA FORGE, 43 CHURCH STREET WEST, WOKING SURREY X0 GU216HT
Sean Durbin officer: Executive VP, EMEA C/O LINDE PLC, THE PRIESTLEY CENTRE 10 PRIESTLEY ROAD, GUILDFORD, SURREY X0 GU2 XY7
Guillermo Bichara officer: Senior VP& Chief Legal Officer 39 OLD RIDGEBURY ROAD, DANBURY CT 06810-5113
David P Strauss officer: Senior VP & Chief HR Officer 10 RIVERVIEW DRIVE, DANBURY CT 06810
Sanjiv Lamba officer: Chief Operating Officer THE PRIESTLEY CENTRE, 10 PRIESTLEY RD, SURREY RESEARCH PARK, GUILDFORD, SURREY X0 GU2 7XY
Juergen Nowicki officer: Executive VP, Engineering C/O LINDE PLC, THE PRIESTLEY CENTRE, 10 PRIESTLEY ROAD, GUILDFORD, SURREY X0 GU2 7XY
Matthew J White officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PRAXAIR, INC., 39 OLD RIDGEBURY ROAD, DANBURY CT 12533
Stephen F Angel director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 39 OLD RIDGEBURY ROAD, DANBURY CT 06810-5113
Hugh Grant director C/O PPG INDUSTRIES, INC., 1 PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15272
Kelcey E Hoyt officer: Principal Accounting Officer 39 OLD RIDGEBURY ROAD, DANBURY CT 06810-5113
Andreas Opfermann officer: Executive VP, Americas C/O LINDE, THE PRIESTLEY CENTRE, 10 PRIESTLEY ROAD, GUILDFORD, SURREY X0 GU2 7XY
Mr. Franz Fehrenbach Director
Franz Fehrenbach director THE PRIESTLEY CENTRE, 10 PRIESTLEY ROAD, THE SURREY RESEARCH PARK, GUILDFORD, SURREY X0 GU2 7XY
Alberto Weisser director