LMNR (Limoneira Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.10% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


LMNR Limoneira Co LMNR
56 GF Score
Price $13.14
GF Value $12.11
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is Limoneira Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Limoneira Co LMNR -0.45% 56 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates LMNR with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of $12.11 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Limoneira Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Limoneira Co  (NAS:LMNR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Limoneira Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


LMNR vs AFRI, VFF, ALCO: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Farm Products subindustry, Limoneira Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Limoneira Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Limoneira Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Limoneira Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


LMNR
56GF Score
Limoneira Co LMNR
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Limoneira Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.89

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.10%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.10% mean?
Limoneira Co (LMNR) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.10% as of Jun. 24, 2026.
Is Limoneira Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Limoneira Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10%. Overall, Limoneira Co has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Limoneira Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to AFRI and VFF?
Limoneira Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.10% can be compared against companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Limoneira Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Limoneira Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Limoneira Co (LMNR) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $12.11, compared to a current price of $13.14 — trading 8.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10%. Limoneira Co's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Limoneira Co (LMNR), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Limoneira Co (LMNR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Limoneira Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $13.14 is trading 8.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $12.11. GuruFocus considers Limoneira Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for LMNR:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.10%
  • GF Value™: $12.11 vs. price of $13.14 (8.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LMNR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Limoneira Co Business Description

Address 1141 Cummings Road, Santa Paula, CA, USA, 93060
Limoneira Co is predominantly an agribusiness company. Its current operations consist of fruit production and marketing, rental operations, real estate, and capital investment activities. The company has three business divisions; agribusiness, rental operations, and real estate development. The agribusiness division which accounts for a majority of the firm's revenue represents its core operations of farming, harvesting, lemon packing, and lemon sales operations. The company's reportable operating segments are fresh lemons, lemon packing, avocados, and other agribusiness, which predominantly includes oranges, specialty citrus, other crops, and farm management services. A majority of its revenue is derived from the Fresh Lemons segment.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LMNR

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$13.14
Price
$12.11
GF Value