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Liquidmetal Technologies (Liquidmetal Technologies) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Liquidmetal Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Liquidmetal Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Liquidmetal Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Liquidmetal Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Liquidmetal Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Liquidmetal Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Liquidmetal Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Liquidmetal Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.71

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Liquidmetal Technologies  (OTCPK:LQMT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Liquidmetal Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Liquidmetal Technologies (Liquidmetal Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
20321 Valencia Circle, Lake Forest, CA, USA, 92630
Liquidmetal Technologies Inc is a materials technology and manufacturing company that develops and commercializes products made from amorphous alloys. The alloys consist of a variety of proprietary bulk alloys and composites that utilize the advantages offered by amorphous alloy technology. Its product application spreads across various industries which include aerospace components, defense parts, medical devices, sporting goods, leisure products, automotive components, and industrial machines.
Executives
Tony Chung officer: Vice President of Finance 25800 COMMERCENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, LAKE FOREST CA 92630
Bryce Van officer: Vice President of Finance LIQUIDMETAL TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 30452 ESPERANZA, RANCHO SANTA MARGARITA CA 92688
Paul A Hauck officer: VP-Worldwide Sales & Marketing 30452 ESPERANZA, RANCHO SANTA MARGARITA CA 92688
Isaac Bresnick director C/O LIQUIDMETAL TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 30452 ESPERANZA, RANCHO SANTA MARGARITA CA 92688
Vincent Carrubba director C/O LIQUIDMETAL TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 30452 ESPERANZA, RANCHO SANTA MARGARITA CA 92688
Lugee Li Yeung Tak director, 10 percent owner 8 FLEMING ROAD, ROOM 906, TAI TUNG BUILDING, WANCHAI K3 999077
Liquidmetal Technology Ltd 10 percent owner 8 FLEMING ROAD, ROOM 906, TAI TUNG BUILDING, WANCHAI K3 999077
Walter Eugen Weyler director C/O LIQUIDMETAL TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 30452 ESPERANZA, RANCHO SANTA MARGARITA CA 92688
Norden, Llc 10 percent owner 5641 NORTH BROADWAY, DENVER CO 80216
Thomas W Steipp director, officer: President and CEO
Mark S Hansen director 4551 W 107TH STREET, SUITE 100, OVERLAND PARK KS 66207
Richard W Sevcik director C/O LIQUIDMETAL TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 30452 ESPERANZA, RANCHO SANTA MARGARITA CA 92688
Bruce Bromage officer: EVP-Business Development C/O LIQUIDMETAL TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 30452 ESPERANZA, RANCHO SANTA MARGARITA CA 92688
Robert Howard Anderson director
Barney D Visser 10 percent owner

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