Albion Technology & General VCT (LSE:AATG) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jul. 24, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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LSE:AATG Albion Technology & General VCT PLC LSE:AATG
40 GF Score
Price £0.66
GF Value £0.36
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Albion Technology & General VCT Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Albion Technology & General VCT LSE:AATG 40 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates LSE:AATG with a GF Score™ of 40/100 and a GF Value™ of £0.36 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Albion Technology & General VCT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Albion Technology & General VCT  (LSE:AATG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Albion Technology & General VCT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


LSE:AATG vs BLK, BX, KKR: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Albion Technology & General VCT's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Albion Technology & General VCT Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Albion Technology & General VCT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Albion Technology & General VCT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


LSE:AATG
40GF Score
Albion Technology & General VCT PLC LSE:AATG
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Albion Technology & General VCT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.24

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Albion Technology & General VCT (LSE:AATG) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jul. 24, 2026.
Is Albion Technology & General VCT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Albion Technology & General VCT's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Albion Technology & General VCT has a GF Score™ of 40/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Albion Technology & General VCT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BLK and BX?
Albion Technology & General VCT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Asset Management industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Asset Management company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Asset Management industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Albion Technology & General VCT's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Albion Technology & General VCT stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Albion Technology & General VCT (LSE:AATG) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £0.36, compared to a current price of £0.66 — trading 81.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Albion Technology & General VCT's overall GF Score™ is 40/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Albion Technology & General VCT (LSE:AATG), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Albion Technology & General VCT (LSE:AATG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Albion Technology & General VCT stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of £0.66 is trading 81.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of £0.36. GuruFocus considers Albion Technology & General VCT to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LSE:AATG:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: £0.36 vs. price of £0.66 (81.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 40/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:AATG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Albion Technology & General VCT Business Description

Address 1 Benjamin Street, London, GBR, EC1M 5QL
Albion Technology & General VCT PLC provides investors with a regular and predictable source of dividend income combined with the prospect of longer-term capital growth. The principal activity of the company is that of a Venture Capital Trust. The company maintains a balanced portfolio of predominantly unquoted growth and technology businesses in a qualifying Venture Capital Trust. The company operates in a single business segment, which is an investment in smaller early-stage companies principally based in the United Kingdom.
40GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LSE:AATG

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£0.66
Price
£0.36
GF Value