EUROKAI GmbH KGaA (LTS:0EDV) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


LTS:0EDV EUROKAI GmbH & Co KGaA LTS:0EDV
50 GF Score
Price €56.00
GF Value €32.47
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is EUROKAI GmbH KGaA Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

EUROKAI GmbH KGaA LTS:0EDV 50 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates LTS:0EDV with a GF Score™ of 50/100 and a GF Value™ of €32.47 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, EUROKAI GmbH KGaA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


EUROKAI GmbH KGaA  (LTS:0EDV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


EUROKAI GmbH KGaA Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


EUROKAI GmbH KGaA Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison

For the Marine Shipping subindustry, EUROKAI GmbH KGaA's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


EUROKAI GmbH KGaA Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, EUROKAI GmbH KGaA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where EUROKAI GmbH KGaA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


LTS:0EDV
50GF Score
EUROKAI GmbH & Co KGaA LTS:0EDV
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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EUROKAI GmbH KGaA Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
EUROKAI GmbH KGaA (LTS:0EDV) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is EUROKAI GmbH KGaA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
EUROKAI GmbH KGaA's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, EUROKAI GmbH KGaA has a GF Score™ of 50/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does EUROKAI GmbH KGaA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
EUROKAI GmbH KGaA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Transportation company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. EUROKAI GmbH KGaA's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is EUROKAI GmbH KGaA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, EUROKAI GmbH KGaA (LTS:0EDV) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €32.47, compared to a current price of €56.00 — trading 72.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. EUROKAI GmbH KGaA's overall GF Score™ is 50/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For EUROKAI GmbH KGaA (LTS:0EDV), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is EUROKAI GmbH KGaA (LTS:0EDV) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, EUROKAI GmbH KGaA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €56.00 is trading 72.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €32.47. GuruFocus considers EUROKAI GmbH KGaA to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0EDV:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: €32.47 vs. price of €56.00 (72.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 50/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0EDV stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


EUROKAI GmbH KGaA Business Description

Other Exchanges EUK3:Germany
Address Kurt-Eckelmann-Strasse 1, Hamburg, DEU, 21129
EUROKAI GmbH & Co KGaA is a container handling company, which focuses on the European market. The company operates in three segments: Eurokai includes the EUROKAI business entity, whose focus is on the leasing of operating areas and quay walls in Germany; the Contship Italia Segment comprises the business entities of the Italian CONTSHIP Italia Group; and the Eurogate Segment comprises the proportionate shareholding in the EUROGATE-Group, which generates its revenue in Germany. It operates container terminals at the seaports of La Spezia, Ravenna, and Salerno in Italy; Bremerhaven and Wilhelmshaven in Germany; Tangier in Morocco; Limassol in Cyprus; Lisbon in Portugal; and Ust-Luga in Russia.
50GF Score

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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€56.00
Price
€32.47
GF Value