DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG (LTS:0KG2) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.81% (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


LTS:0KG2 DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG LTS:0KG2
42 GF Score
Price €0.34
GF Value €0.68
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG LTS:0KG2 42 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.81% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates LTS:0KG2 with a GF Score™ of 42/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.68 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.81%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG  (LTS:0KG2) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


LTS:0KG2 vs CBRE, BEKE, CSGP: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


LTS:0KG2
42GF Score
DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG LTS:0KG2
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.80

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.81%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.81% mean?
DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG (LTS:0KG2) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.81% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.81%. Overall, DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG has a GF Score™ of 42/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to CBRE and BEKE?
DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.81% can be compared against companies in the Real Estate industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Real Estate company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.81%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG (LTS:0KG2) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.68, compared to a current price of €0.34 — trading 49.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.81%. DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG's overall GF Score™ is 42/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG (LTS:0KG2), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.81% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG (LTS:0KG2) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €0.34 is trading 49.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of €0.68. GuruFocus considers DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0KG2:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.81%
  • GF Value™: €0.68 vs. price of €0.34 (49.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 42/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0KG2 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG Business Description

Other Exchanges DMRE:Germany
Address Robert-Bosch-Strasse 11, Langen, Frankfurt, DEU, D-63225
DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG is a Germany-based commercial real estate company. It focuses on German real estate market and is an investor and property holder in the segment for secondary locations where its activities include acquisition management and rental of commercial properties. The company concentrates on office, retail, hotel and logistics, real estate and owns properties in medium-sized cities and locations bordering metropolitan areas across Germany, such as in the Munich, Freiburg, Rostock, Dusseldorf, Bonn, Hamburg, Berlin and Dresden areas. The Company's particular strength lies in realizing the potential of the properties at these locations while focusing on a range of properties that appeals to both regional and international tenants.
42GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0KG2

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.34
Price
€0.68
GF Value