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Corio NV (LTS:0LNK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Corio NV Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Corio NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Corio NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Corio NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Corio NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Corio NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Corio NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Corio NV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Corio NV  (LTS:0LNK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Corio NV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Corio NV (LTS:0LNK) Business Description

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Corio NV was formed in 2000 by the merger between VIB and WBN. It is a retail property company engaged in developing, redeveloping and managing retail properties such as shops and shopping centers, offices and industrial centers in the Netherlands, France, Italy, Spain, Turkey and Germany. The Company has grown from a Dutch mixed retail fund to a pan-European real estate company with a clear focus on retail. The Company has a presence in the largest consumer markets in continental Europe, management is fully in-sourced and the business has a solid financial position. In the changing retail landscape the Company is now ready to enter the next phase and take advantage of future opportunities and dynamics in the industry. The Company has set up an internal platform, called LaunchLab, focused on helping the Company to innovate and execute the Favorite Meeting Place strategy. The programme aims to discover new strategic insights, as well as support innovative ideas to quickly move into action, boosting revenues from other income streams. The Company has six local organisations: Corio Nederland, Corio France, Corio Italia, Corio España, Corio Türkiye and Corio Deutschland. They are responsible for the daily management of Corio's real estate portfolio. Corio N.V. (the Management Board and its general staff) retains the checks and balances. The general staff reports directly to the Management Board of Corio N.V. The green brick is a reward for the sustainable real estate investor of the year.

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