Stara Planina Holding AD (LTS:0O2S) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Jul. 21, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

LTS:0O2S Stara Planina Holding AD LTS:0O2S
69 GF Score
Price лв7.50
GF Value лв16.47
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Stara Planina Holding AD Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Stara Planina Holding AD LTS:0O2S 69 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus rates LTS:0O2S with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of лв16.47. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Stara Planina Holding AD's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Stara Planina Holding AD  (LTS:0O2S) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Stara Planina Holding AD Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


LTS:0O2S vs GEV, ETN, PH: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Stara Planina Holding AD's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Stara Planina Holding AD Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Stara Planina Holding AD's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Stara Planina Holding AD's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


LTS:0O2S
69GF Score
Stara Planina Holding AD LTS:0O2S
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Stara Planina Holding AD Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.79

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Stara Planina Holding AD (LTS:0O2S) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jul. 21, 2026.
Is Stara Planina Holding AD's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Stara Planina Holding AD's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Stara Planina Holding AD has a GF Score™ of 69/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Stara Planina Holding AD's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to GEV and ETN?
Stara Planina Holding AD's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Industrial Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Industrial Products company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Stara Planina Holding AD's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Stara Planina Holding AD stock overvalued right now?
Stara Planina Holding AD (LTS:0O2S) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04%. The stock's GF Value™ is лв16.47, compared to a current price of лв7.50 — trading 54.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Stara Planina Holding AD's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Stara Planina Holding AD (LTS:0O2S), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Stara Planina Holding AD (LTS:0O2S) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Stara Planina Holding AD stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of лв7.50 is trading 54.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of лв16.47.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0O2S:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: лв16.47 vs. price of лв7.50 (54.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0O2S stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Stara Planina Holding AD Business Description

Other Exchanges SPH:Bulgaria
Address 20, Frederic Joliot-Curie Street, 9th Floor, Sofia, BGR, 1113
Stara Planina Holding AD is a holding company. The company is engaged in the acquisition, management, evaluation, and sale of shareholdings in Bulgarian and foreign companies; acquisition, management, and sale of bonds, evaluation and sale of patents, transfer of licenses for the use of patents, belonging to companies where the holding company has participation; financing companies where the holding company has participations; other commercial operations, except those prohibited by law. The investment portfolio of the holding is distributed mainly in the following industries, Machine Building; Electrical Engineering, Light Industry, and Financial.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0O2S

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

лв7.50
Price
лв16.47
GF Value