Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy (LTS:0OII) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.07% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


LTS:0OII Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy SA LTS:0OII
66 GF Score
Price zł248.00
GF Value zł246.07
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy LTS:0OII 66 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates LTS:0OII with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of zł246.07. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy  (LTS:0OII) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


LTS:0OII vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


LTS:0OII
66GF Score
Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy SA LTS:0OII
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.23

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% mean?
Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy (LTS:0OII) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. Overall, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy has a GF Score™ of 66/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to CTVA and CF?
Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% can be compared against companies in the Agriculture industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Agriculture company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy stock overvalued right now?
Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy (LTS:0OII) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07%. The stock's GF Value™ is zł246.07, compared to a current price of zł248.00 — trading 0.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy (LTS:0OII), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy (LTS:0OII) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of zł248.00 is trading 0.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of zł246.07.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0OII:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.07%
  • GF Value™: zł246.07 vs. price of zł248.00 (0.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0OII stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Business Description

Other Exchanges ZAP:Poland
Address Al. Tysiaclecia Panstwa Polskiego 13, Pulawy, POL, 24-110
Grupa Azoty Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy SA is a manufacturer and supplier of mineral fertilizers, basic chemicals and also involved in the procurement of raw materials and consumables. The company's segment includes Agro; Plastics; Energy and Other Activities. It generates maximum revenue from the Agro segment. The Agro Segment comprises the manufacturing of ammonia and products derived from the processing of ammonia, in particular urea and its solutions, including urea-ammonium nitrate solution, melamine, nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, technical gases, hydrogen peroxide, as well as phosphorus, potassium and blended fertilizers.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0OII

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

zł248.00
Price
zł246.07
GF Value