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MEGI (MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Mar. 14, 2025)


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What is MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.46

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund  (NYSE:MEGI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
51 Madison Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10010
MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund is a non-diversified, closed-end management investment company. The Fund's investment objective is to seek a high level of total return with an emphasis on current income. It invests predominantly in income-producing equity securities issued by infrastructure companies, including common stock, preferred stock, convertible securities, and rights or warrants to buy common stocks. The company intends to focus on three infrastructure megatrends: decarbonization, digital transformation, and asset modernization while making its investments.
Executives
Jeremy Anagnos other: Portfolio Manager 201 KING OF PRUSSIA ROAD, SUITE 600, RADNOR PA 19087
Jacques P Perold director 51 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10010
Joseph P Smith other: Portfolio Manager 201 KING OF PRUSSIA RD SUITE 600, RADNOR PA 19087
Naim Abou-jaoude other: CEO, NY LIFE INVEST MGMENT LLC 200 ALDERSGATE STREET, C/O CANDRIAM, NORTH ENTRANCE, LONDON X0 EC1A4HD
Alain M Karaoglan other: Chairman & Interim CEO 230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Richard S Trutanic director 51 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10010
Kevin M Gleason officer: Chief Compliance Officer 30 HUDSON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Daniel Ryan Foley other: Portfolio Manager 201 KING OF PRUSSIA ROAD, SUITE 600, RADNOR PA 19087
Kirk C Lehneis officer: President 51 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10010
Hinds Howard other: Portfolio Manager 201 KING OF PRUSSIA ROAD, SUITE 600, RADNOR PA 19087
Cbre Investment Management Listed Real Assets Llc other: Subadviser 555 EAST LANCASTER AVENUE, SUITE 120, RADNOR PA 19087
Alan R Latshaw director 51 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10010
Yie-hsin Hung director 30 HUDSON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Scott T Harrington officer: Vice President-Administration 169 LACKAWANNA AVENUE, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Susan B Kerley director 51 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10010

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