Fiverr International (MEX:FVRRN) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


MEX:FVRRN Fiverr International Ltd MEX:FVRRN
58 GF Score
Price MXN175.00
GF Value MXN490.60
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Fiverr International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Fiverr International MEX:FVRRN 58 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:FVRRN with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN490.60 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fiverr International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fiverr International  (MEX:FVRRN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fiverr International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


MEX:FVRRN vs BMBL, GETY, MAX: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Fiverr International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fiverr International Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Fiverr International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fiverr International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


MEX:FVRRN
58GF Score
Fiverr International Ltd MEX:FVRRN
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Fiverr International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.95

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Fiverr International (MEX:FVRRN) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Fiverr International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Fiverr International's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Fiverr International has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Fiverr International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BMBL and GETY?
Fiverr International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Interactive Media industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Interactive Media company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Interactive Media industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Fiverr International's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Fiverr International stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fiverr International (MEX:FVRRN) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN490.60, compared to a current price of MXN175.00 — trading 64.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Fiverr International's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Fiverr International (MEX:FVRRN), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Fiverr International (MEX:FVRRN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fiverr International stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN175.00 is trading 64.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN490.60. GuruFocus considers Fiverr International to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for MEX:FVRRN:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: MXN490.60 vs. price of MXN175.00 (64.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:FVRRN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Fiverr International Business Description

Address 8 Eliezer Kaplan Street, Tel Aviv, ISR, 6473409
Fiverr International Ltd operates a online marketplace that enables sellers to offer digital services and buyers to purchase them The Company's platform features an extensive catalog of digital services that spans over hundreds of categories. Buyers can purchase digital services ranging from simple services such as logo design and blog post writing, to complex services such as video creation, website development and social media marketing. Also, the Company offers value-added services including subscription products, advertising solutions and financial tools designed to support marketplace users and enhance their business activities. The company generates maximum of its revenue from USA.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:FVRRN

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN175.00
Price
MXN490.60
GF Value