Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV (MEX:GISSAA) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.08% (As of Aug. 03, 2026)

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MEX:GISSAA Grupo Industrial Saltillo SAB de CV MEX:GISSAA
51 GF Score
Price MXN12.15
GF Value MXN17.07
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV MEX:GISSAA +0.41% 51 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08% as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:GISSAA with a GF Score™ of 51/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN17.07 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV  (MEX:GISSAA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


MEX:GISSAA vs ORLY, AZO, GPC: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


MEX:GISSAA
51GF Score
Grupo Industrial Saltillo SAB de CV MEX:GISSAA
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.18

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.08% mean?
Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV (MEX:GISSAA) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.08% as of Aug. 03, 2026.
Is Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%. Overall, Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV has a GF Score™ of 51/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to ORLY and AZO?
Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.08% can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV (MEX:GISSAA) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN17.07, compared to a current price of MXN12.15 — trading 28.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%. Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV's overall GF Score™ is 51/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV (MEX:GISSAA), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08% as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV (MEX:GISSAA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN12.15 is trading 28.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN17.07. GuruFocus considers Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:GISSAA:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.08%
  • GF Value™: MXN17.07 vs. price of MXN12.15 (28.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 51/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:GISSAA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Grupo IndustrialltilloB de CV Business Description

Address 375 Chiapas Esquina Candela, Saltillo, Coahuila, MEX, 25280
Grupo Industrial Saltillo SAB de CV is an integrated industrial company that operates through three business segments: construction materials, the iron foundry division, and the domestic goods unit. The construction segment creates ceramics, indoor heaters, and industrial water heaters. The iron foundry produces gray iron, nodular iron, aluminum, and auto parts. The auto parts include engine blocks and heads for both diesel and gas engines and the firm's primary clients for these goods include automobile and industrial companies. The company's domestic goods business manufactures appliances, tableware, and kitchenware products. The company generates the vast majority of its revenue in Mexico.
51GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:GISSAA

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN12.15
Price
MXN17.07
GF Value