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Digital World Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.00% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Digital World Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Digital World Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Digital World Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Digital World Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Digital World Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Digital World Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Digital World Acquisition  (NAS:DWAC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Digital World Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Digital World Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Digital World Acquisition Business Description

Digital World Acquisition logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
78 SW 7th Street, Miami, FL, USA, 33130
Website
Digital World Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.
Executives
Barclays Plc 10 percent owner 1 CHURCHILL PLACE CANARY WHARF LONDON X0 E14 5HP
Orlando Patrick Francis director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman 212 E 48TH STREET - PHB NEW YORK NY 10017
Shaner Justin director 2000 S BAYSHORE DR UNIT 20 MIAMI FL 33133
Swider Eric director 2000 S BAYSHORE DR UNIT 20 MIAMI FL 33133
Veloso Rodrigo director 78 SW 7TH STREET MIAMI FL 33130
Garelick Bruce J. director 78 SW 7TH STREET MIAMI FL 33130
Montie Jacobson director 78 SW 7TH STREET MIAMI FL 33130
Orleans-braganza Luiz officer: Chief Financial Officer 78 SW 7TH STREET MIAMI FL 33130
Arc Global Investments Ii Llc 10 percent owner 78 SW 7TH STREET MIAMI FL 33130

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